MyntBit Daily Report | 22 July 2022
MyntBit Daily Report is dedicated to provide traders with recap and bring setups to watch for the next trading day.
Market Snapshot
RTTNews Market Update
Stocks saw significant volatility over the course of the trading session on Thursday but managed to end the day notably higher. The major averages extended a recent upward trend, reaching their best closing levels in over a month.
The major averages saw further upside going into the close, reaching new highs for the session. The Dow climbed 162.06 points or 0.5 percent to 32,036.90, the Nasdaq surged 161.96 points or 1.4 percent to 12,059.61 and the S&P 500 jumped 39.05 points or 1 percent to 3,998.95.
The volatility on Wall Street came as traders expressed some uncertainty about the outlook for the markets following the recent upward move.
The Nasdaq benefitted from a significant advance by shares of Tesla (TSLA), with the electric vehicle marker spiking by 9.8 percent after reporting second quarter earnings that beat expectations.
The latest U.S. economic data may have also helped ease concerns about the outlook for interest rates, with a report from the Labor Department showing initial jobless claims unexpectedly rose to an eight-month high in the week ended July 16th.
The report showed initial jobless claims crept up to 251,000, an increase of 7,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 244,000. The uptick surprised economists, who had expected jobless claims to edge down to 240,000.
Jobless claims inched higher for the third straight week, reaching their highest level since hitting 265,000 in the week ended November 13, 2021.
A separate report released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia showed regional manufacturing activity unexpectedly contracted at a faster rate in the month of July.
The Philly Fed said its current general activity index slumped to a negative 12.3 in July from a negative 3.3 in June, with a negative reading indicating a contraction in regional manufacturing activity. Economists had expected the index to rebound to a positive 0.4.
The Conference Board also released a report showing its index of leading economic indicators decreased for the fourth straight month in June.
The Conference Board said its leading economic index slumped by 0.8 percent in June after falling by a revised 0.6 percent in May.
Economists had expected the leading economic index to decline by 0.5 percent compared to the 0.4 percent drop originally reported for the previous month.
Meanwhile, the European Central Bank announced its decision to raise interest rates by a larger-than-expected 50 basis points, marking the first rate hike in over a decade.
"The Governing Council judged that it is appropriate to take a larger first step on its policy rate normalisation path than signalled at its previous meeting," the ECB said.
Sector News
Computer hardware stocks moved sharply higher over the course of the session, with the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index surging by 2.3 percent to its best closing level in well over a month.
Substantial strength also emerged among housing stocks, as reflected by the 2.3 percent spike by the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index. The index also reached a well over one-month closing high.
Homebuilder D.R. Horton (DHI) has helped to lead the housing sector higher after reporting better than expected fiscal third quarter earnings.
Tobacco, networking and semiconductor stocks also saw considerable strength on the day, while energy stocks moved sharply lower along with the price of crude oil. Crude for September delivery tumbled $3.53 to $96.35 a barrel.
Reflecting the weakness in the energy sector, the Philadelphia Oil Service Index plunged by 3.6 percent and the NYSE Arca Oil Index slumped by 2 percent.
Airline stocks also showed a significant move to the downside, resulting in a 2.5 percent nosedive by the NYSE Arca Airline Index.
United Airlines (UAL) and American Airlines (AAL) posted steep losses after reporting weaker than expected second quarter earnings.
Other Markets
In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance during trading on Thursday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index climbed by 0.4 percent, while China's Shanghai Composite Index slumped by 1 percent.
The major European markets also finished the day mixed. While the German DAX Index dipped by 0.3 percent, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index inched up by 0.1 percent and the French CAC 40 Index rose by 0.3 percent.
In the bond market, treasuries moved sharply higher over the course of the session after seeing initial weakness. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, tumbled by 12.6 basis points to 2.910 percent after reaching a high of 3.081 percent.
Looking Ahead
Amid a quiet day on the U.S. economic front, trading on Friday is likely to be driven by reaction to the latest earnings news.
Capital One (COF), Mattel (MAT), Snap (SNAP) and Tenet Healthcare (THC) are among the companies releasing their quarterly results after the close of today's trading.
American Express (AXP), Twitter (TWTR) and Verizon (VZ) are also among the companies due to report their results before the start of trading on Friday.
Market Heatmap
Futures Markets
There it is folks, called in the discord numerous times 4000 on /ES. The weekly perspective HAS now changed /ES and /NQ as the range top has now been moved higher due to the follow-through after the breakout. /ES futures are currently sitting at 3985 under the well under the high of day at 4004. /ES resistance at 3980 and 4000 were held on throughout the day but power-hour breakout helped /ES take out the important key area. On a similar note, /NQ continued its strength by leading the indices with over a 1.4 percent move up. Couple of key events that occurred throughout the day, the ECB announced its decision to raise interest rates by a larger-than-expected 50 basis points and Presdident Biden testing positive for Covid-19 neither has any impact on the market overall. Lastly, SNAP is currently down over 26 percent after reporting their earnings.
Next up, again earnings (VZ, TWTR, AXP etc.) while not much on the data front.
/ES - Emini S&P 500
Bullish Scenario
If we OPEN above 3980, we need to overcome 4000 levels again which has been a key resistance but if there is a follow-through the price sees a move towards 4030 where we could see sellers step in. Now the key area on ES in the longer-term is 4100, will the short sellers defend their positions?
Bearish Scenario
If we OPEN below 3980, we might see the 3950 range where we found buyers step in to buy the dip. Further downside will be limited unless there is some catalyst which could see us test 3910.
POC: 3962 | VAH: 3983 | VAL: 3946 | Range: 3723 - 4030
/NQ - Emini Nasdaq 100
Bullish Scenario
If we OPEN above 12510, we might see the test of 12642 before any sort of resistance with a move up to 12720 possible before buyers step in.
Bearish Scenario
If we OPEN below 12510, we might see a move down to 12400 before we find any buyers to buy the dip. But further breakdown might be limited.
POC: 12602 | VAH: 12642 | VAL: 12467 | Range: 11390 - 12726
Earnings Calendar (Fri. July 22)
Economic Calendar (Fri. July 22)
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